MATH Basic Algebra II  - Unit 35: Probability and Statistics

Using Probabilities to Make A Fair Decision

For the following problems, use the following scenario.  A teacher wants to select 5 of the 26 students in her class to work out a problem on the board.  Determine whether the strategy would result in a fair or unfair decision.


1) The names of all the students are written on a paper and drawn from a hat.  The first five names drawn will work the board.

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2)

The names of the students are listed in alphabetical order and the teacher chooses the first 5 names.


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3)

The teacher chooses the first 5 students to enter the classroom.


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4)

The teacher assigns each student a number and spins a spinner number 1 to 26. The teacher chooses the students with the first 5 different numbers that she spins.


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5)

Two players take turns tossing two coins. Player 1 scores a point when both coins are the same, that is either a head/head or tail/tail.  Player 2 scores a point when the two coins are different, that is either a head/tail or a tail/head.  Determine whether the game is fair. Explain why or why not.


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6)

There are 32 members  in the advanced senior government class at North High School. The government teacher wants to select 6 students to attend a leadership conference. He assigns a two digit number from 01 to 32 to each student. Use the random number table to determine the numbers of the students who will attend the conference.


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Using Probability to Analyze Decisions

The following table shows the number of student who studied or did not study for an algebra test and whether they passed or did not pass the test.  Use the table for the following problems.


7)

What is the probability that a student passed the test after studying for the test?

Hint:  Look at the data for the students who studied for the test.


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8)

What is the probability that a student did not pass the test after not studying for the test?


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9)

What conclusion can a student make about studying for their algebra test?


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A pharmaceutical company wants to test the effectiveness of a new cream to treat a skin rash. Of the 150 volunteers for the trial, 75 used the new cream and 75 used a placebo. After a week, the volunteers were asked if they noticed improvement. The results are displayed in the table below.  Use the table for the following problems.


10)

What is the probability that a volunteer reported improvement, given that he or she received the treatment?


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11)

What is the probability that a volunteer reported no improvement, given  that he or she received the treatment?


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12) Based on the results of the test, should the company produce and market the drug as an effective treatment for skin rashes. Explain.

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Survey Experiments and Observational Studies

For the following problems, determine whether the survey is biased or unbiased.


13)

A box contains the name of every student in the school. One hundred names are drawn from the box and students are asked their opinion of the new pizza served in the cafeteria.


14)

Every tenth person leaving the grocery store is asked who they will vote for in the upcoming election.


15)

Asking every tenth person leaving a baseball stadium about their favorite baseball team.


For the following problems, determine whether the situation, describes a survey, an experiment or an observational study.


16)

Students in a biology class record the height of corn stalks twice a week.


17)

Find 100 students, half of whom play sports and compare the grade point average of the students who play sports with the students who do not play sports.


18)

Student council members ask every tenth person in the lunch line to name their favorite cafeteria meal.


19)

A scientist wants to test a new plant food. Ten seeds are planted in the same location. Half of the plants are given the plant food and the other plants are given no plant food. The scientist records the height of the plants each day.


Margin of Error


20)

In a  survey of high school seniors, 72% of those surveyed stated they were planning on attending college the following year. The margin of error was 4%. Find the likely interval that contains the percentage of high school seniors that were planning on attending college the following year.


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21)

In a recent survey, 18% of 350 students said they participated in marching band. Find the margin of error rounded to the nearest whole percent. Then find the interval that is likely to contain the true population proportion.


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22)

In a recent survey, 65% of those surveyed were in favor of a local school levy. The margin of error was 2%. How many people were surveyed?

Hint: Use the Margin of error formula in the previous question. Let ME = 0.02 and p = 0.65.

Solve for n.


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Measure of Central Tendency

For the following problems, use the data below.

76, 85, 43, 120 58, 180, 95, 215,136


23)

Find the mean.


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24)

Find the median.


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25)

Find the mode.


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For the following problems, use the data below.

The temperatures (in °F) recorded in Columbus at noon on each day for two weeks were as follows:

81, 78, 77, 75, 80, 82, 84, 78, 74, 75, 49, 71, 76, 80


26)

Find the mean. Round the answer to the nearest tenth.


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27)

Find the median.


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28)

Find the mode.


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Use the frequency table for the following problems.

The students in a class of 20 were given an algebra quiz with 5 questions The frequency table below shows the number of questions each student got correct. Find the mean, median and mode of the quiz scores.

Hint: Remember to use all 20 scores when calculating the mean and median.


29)

Find the mean.


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30)

Find the median.


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31)

Find the mode.


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Measures of Variation


32)

Amber took 8 math tests last semester.  Her scores were 89, 84, 72, 93, 86, 94, 77, and 71. What is the range of her test scores?


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33)

A race was completed by 7 sprinters. The recorded times, in seconds were, 7.2, 8.5, 8.0, 7.6, 9.4, 7.1, and 8.9. What is the range of times given in seconds?


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Use the data below to calculate the mean, variance, and standard deviation for the following 5 test scores.  Use the table below to record your steps.

Test scores:  56, 63, 70, 82, 91


34)

Calculate the mean (round to the nearest 10th).


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35)

Find the difference between each value in the set of data and the mean.  Record the results in the second column of the table below.

Hint: Subtract each score from the mean.


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36)

Square each difference.   Record the results in the third column of the table.  Type your answers in the box below.

Hint: Square your answers from a, b, c, d, and e in the previous question to find the answers for f, g, h, i, and j.


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37)

Find the variance (round to the nearest 100th).

Hint: The variance is the average of the squared differences from the mean of a set of data.


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38)

Find the standard deviation (Round to the nearest 100th).

Hint: The standard deviation is the square root of the variance.


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Normal Distributions

For the following problems, use the information below.

A normal distribution has a mean of 85 and a standard deviation of 10.


39)

Find the range of values that represent the middle 68% of the distribution.


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40)

Find the range of values that represent the middle 95% of the data.


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41)

Find the range of values that represent the middle 99% of the data.


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42)

A normal distribution has a mean of 70 and a standard deviation of 8. Find the probability that a value selected at random is in each of the given intervals. 

          a) from 62 to 70

          b) from 46 to 62 

          c) from 62 to 86

          d) at least 78


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43) Extended Learning

Watch the following video, then write a five-sentence paragraph summarizing the video.


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